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politics

How Did Toronto Lose So Much Transit Service?

Yesterday the TTC announced major service reductions, cuts they have opted for almost entirely without debate. Some thoughts on broken decision-making at City Hall.

TTC service cuts for January 2012 made the news yesterday, the same day as a town hall meeting to discuss customer service on the transit system. Chair Karen Stintz (Ward 16, Eglinton-Lawrence) wants to concentrate on good news, on positive stories about a better TTC. Those cuts are bad news the TTC planned to keep under wraps.

TTCriders, a public transit advocacy group, had alerted media and politicians to the cuts, forcing the detailed list of service changes out of the TTC. Surprise! Budget cuts mean your bus, as well as busy routes all over the city, not just sleepy late-night services. How did Toronto come to this? Isn’t transit ridership growing? Doesn’t everyone want more service? Who approved these cuts? Why doesn’t council know what is going on?

Mayor Rob Ford’s search for gravy in the city budget presumes that there’s money to be found in every agency and department, especially those where Miller-era spending improved services. To the Ford administration, that’s waste, spending Toronto cannot afford. At the TTC, one target is turning out to be the Ridership Growth Strategy [PDF], a 2003 plan to make transit more attractive, to woo people out of their cars with low-cost improvements. One important part of that strategy was improving loading standards to reduce crowding and make room for new riders. TTC planners added bus service during rush hours to reduce loads by about 10 per cent, and off-peak bus and streetcar service was scheduled so that everyone (on average) got a seat. TTC riders know this is a rosy view thanks to delays, bunched vehicles, and overcrowding, but at least the TTC made an effort.

The TTC’s Budget Process

Ford’s edict to cut spending by 10 per cent landed on the TTC as it was planning the 2012 budget. The combined hits of a lower subsidy from the City, rising costs, and growing demand put the TTC in a box. Management recommended a change back to the old loading standards so that more riders could be carried, at least in theory, with less service. On September 16, the Transit Commission approved this change, and TTC staff set about crafting what would become the January 2012 schedules [PDF].

At the time, the actual effects of the new policy were only presented to the Commission and the public in general terms: vehicles would be a bit more crowded and riders would have to wait a bit longer for their ride to show up, we were told. These would be trivial changes, necessary sacrifices in difficult economic times. They won’t hurt much.

Who could object to waiting a mere 30 seconds more for their bus? On 54 Lawrence East, the morning rush service will change from every three minutes to every three and a half minutes. How dare riders complain about so small a change? But what this actually means for a busy, already overcrowded route is that instead of 20 buses per hour, riders will get only 17. Three busloads of passengers will have to cram into what’s left on the street.

The Service Cuts

The TTC’s analysis assumes there is actually room for these riders because today’s standard says there should be. However, riding growth chewed up that extra space on busy routes long ago. Even worse, the buses don’t actually arrive every 3 minutes, but come in packs. Many don’t reach their destinations thanks to short turns. Riders know that the advertised service does not match reality on the streets.

Outside the rush hour, the change is more severe. The loading standard, now based on having a seat for everyone, will rise by 25 per cent on routes with service every 10 minutes or better. This means that one bus or streetcar in five will disappear on busy routes. Riders who know well that everyone does not get a seat today will be packed in even more tightly, and they will wait longer on the street.

Packed buses and streetcars take longer to load and unload at stops while riders push their way on and off, and this adds to delays in transit service. We will see even more short turns, and travel times will go up. The TTC will blame it all on traffic congestion, not on the effect of their misguided policies.

These are, by any reasonable definition, major service cuts. How can all this happen without a public debate, without the details known clearly before new policies are approved?

The Political Context

The TTC’s board, like so many City agencies, is almost entirely filled with Ford sycophants, councillors who do what they’re told by the mayor and don’t ask embarrassing questions. When Ford says “cut 10 per cent,” they cut, rather than asking about the real effects and debating alternatives.

In early 2011, the transit commissioners learned that telling the public the gory details of service cuts in advance is a bad strategy that only encourages long meetings filled with public protest. The truth is that the board has an agenda, and listening to the public is, at best, for show, not for real consultation. For the 2012 cuts, it seems they’ve decided it’s far better to approve an abstract policy without revealing the effects it will have, much less asking for comment on it. Those 2011 cuts were intended to pay for service improvements this fall, but one quarter of these will be rolled back in January.

A draft list of service cuts put together by TTC staff made its way to me in mid-October. At the time, the media and council were preoccupied with Ford’s Waterfront Follies. This list did not find its way to TTC commissioners, councillors, or the public, even though the changes would have widespread effects. (Some councillors and commissioners did see the list that was unofficially passed around, but there was no procedural mechanism that ensured they all did.) The TTC was more concerned about how the information leaked out than with the need for public debate.

City council does not have line item review powers for the TTC, which is technically separate from the City. As with all agencies, boards, and commissions (also including the Toronto Public Library and the Toronto Police Service), the City approves a total budget allocation, but the details of how that is used are mostly in the TTC board’s hands. (However, council can and does intervene at times in TTC affairs. By the terms of a bylaw passed during the last term of council, the TTC cannot make changes on its own—such as increasing service—that would commit the City to higher subsidies in future budgets. Oddly enough, this rule doesn’t apply to changes that would cut service across the board.)

The service cuts and loading standards have never been to council for debate, nor has the 10 per cent cut in the subsidy budget. That 10 per cent cut comes from a directive issued by the city manager, one which was never voted on. Thanks to the mayor’s control of the TTC board, these changes were made at the TTC without any discussion outside of Ford’s circle.

The City’s 2012 operating budget process officially gets underway on Monday. It is only if and when council confirms the level of the TTC’s subsidy—that is, votes in favour of the 10 per cent reduction that the city manager has requested—that we will know whether the service cuts announced yesterday were actually necessary. Which brings us to the political question: will the “mushy middle” votes on council line up with Ford to cut TTC funding, or will they side with the progressive wing and find roughly $15 million to restore loading standards and service to 2011 levels?

The Upshot

The underlying issue for the TTC and for council is the current lack of informed debate. Cuts are easy to make in the abstract while councillors speak boldly about belt tightening, calling for sacrifices made in the name of the greater good. Real cuts affecting real people are much harder to champion—especially when a good chunk of the Toronto’s financial problem is self-inflicted, given council’s decision to kill or curtail revenue sources over the past year.

Just when transit and transportation are hot issues for debate across the Greater Toronto Area, the TTC is diverting attention from our real problems. Last night’s town hall was a fine exercise in appearing to care about public input, with the pretense that somehow transit will improve, that politicians responsible for the TTC actually believe in better transit. The reality is that major decisions on transit policy are implemented as if transit service is granted grudgingly to undeserving riders, and their council representatives don’t even exist.

For more on transit in Toronto, head over to Steve Munro’s blog.

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Comments

  • Alistair

    10% cuts, and a fare increase still won’t be enough for Ford’s subway to nowhere.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=513128009 Gordon Yarley

    Thank you for a well written article. I think we need a rider revolt. Enough is enough.

    • DebateParty

      The city has done a pretty good job at creating a frustrated, Riding Class Consciousness.

    • Stefan

      Gordon Yarley wrote: “I think we need a rider revolt. Enough is enough. ”

      It’s not just a RIDER revolt but a CITIZENS’ revolution which is needed. This TTC issue is just the tip of the iceberg… soon we are going to have a sickening class war as Ford and his acolytes fan the flames of the politics of envy and lock out city workers. The contempt shown for transit users is just a small aspect of the struggle for power and wealth in this city, and it is crucial that the impoverished residents of the inner suburbs are not bamboozled into succumbing to the politics of envy against their unionized brothers and sisters. These struggling residents need to be shown the true colours of Ford & Co., as demonstrated by the continuing downgrading of the TTC.

  • Anonymous

    “especially when a good chunk of the Toronto’s financial problem is self-inflicted, given council’s decision to kill or curtail revenue sources over the past year.”

    This is key, Ford’s campaign was based on the city doesnt have a revenue problem; we will only cut gravy.

  • DRYDRY

    TTC/city morons also fail to grasp that MORE PEOPLE LIVE ALONG THESE ROUTES since there are NEW CONDOS AND SUCH and therefore cutting services is STUPID

    • squintz

      rob ford is the one forcing them to reduce their budget by 10%, it not like the TTC volunteered to make these cuts…

      • Anonymous

        Technically he hasn’t, yet. City council still needs to vote on the TTC’s budget envelope as part of the 2012 budget process. Yesterday’s service reduction announcement was in response to a request issued by the city manager – sent to every department, agency, board and commission in Toronto – asking for a 10% reduction in the budgets they submit to the City as part of that budget process. Not everyone has complied – the police, most notably, have said they can’t cut 10% this year, and Ford has indicated, at least preliminarily, that that’ll be okay.

        • Anonymous

          Perhaps it’s worth playing up the fact that the rules seem to be different for the cops? Why is policing untouchable when every other city service is a legitimate target for the axe?

          • Jac

            It’s comforting to know there will be plenty of police on the scene when TTC riders start killing each other for the last square foot on the bus.

  • Dan_shane

    I would love to see a study, that shows how many (and who) of these people making decisions, actually rely on the service. My feeling is that the vast majority of them do not rely on it—and probably never have.

    They would all have a different perspective and I am certain, other “solutions” if they were forced to rely on the TTC the way we are.

    • DRYDRY

      Each and every one of them should be required to commute via TTC for 2 weeks. To work and home.

      Then they would not be such fu*king clueless morons.

    • Transity Cyclist

      @Dan_shane

      It’s called a poll, not a study. Getting this information should take no time at all, but that depends on how secretive the commissioners are.

    • Roger

      I agree that if TTC commissioners used TTC it would likely improve knowledge & alter decisions. Karen Stinz and Rob Ford occasionally use the TTC, but like most drivers it tends to be the subway, which was not touched despite Sheppard’s low numbers. Some influential driving politicans (Rob) have the misguided notion that getting buses and streetcar off the roads will free up room for them. It doesn’t take a lot of deep pondering to figure out the cracks in this theory but it is one of the reasons for perennial attacks on streetcars (cars wait during loading) and for funneling transit billions towards subways on crowded suburban arterials despite their lack of usefulness for transit riders themselves.

    • http://troubleinchina.livejournal.com Anna

      All the transit decisions in Halifax were notably made by people who never ride the bus, which our local indy paper made a point of highlighting at the time. Sadly, this didn’t make a difference. :( But it was the thing that stuck out in my mind about the whole thing.

  • Dan G Lee

    TTC has plenty of money per rider! Do the math – TTC costs the most for transit in ALL of Canada!

    TTC Monthly Pass – $121 with 33% subsidy. True pass cost: $160.93
    Montreal Monthly Pass: $72.50 with 43% subsidy. True pass cost: $103.67
    Vancouver Monthly Pass: $81 with 54% subsidy. True pass cost: $124.74
    Ottawa Monthly Pass: $94.00 with with 57% subsidy. True pass cost: $147.58

    Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farebox_recovery_ratio

    The TTC needs $160.93 per month per rider to operate, while other cities need much less!

    • Anonymous

      That $81 pass only covers zone 1 in Vancouver, which is just the city itself. Their monthly pass that covers a geographical area similar to the TTC is $110 a month.

    • http://twitter.com/electricland Electric Landlady

      Check your math. $121 with 33% subsidy means the $121 accounts for 67% of the total cost, thus the total cost is $180.60. Other cities, using your figures, as follows:
      Montreal $181.88
      Vancouver $176.09
      Ottawa $218.60

      • Dan G Lee

        If I do it your way:

        Toronto – 66.7% recovery = $180.60
        Montreal – 57.1% recovery = $126.97
        Vancouver – 46.3% recovery = $174.00
        Ottawa – 43.2% recovery = $217.00

        Toronto is still up there – only difference is Ottawa is higher.

        • http://twitter.com/electricland Electric Landlady

          Sorry, yes, I’m wrong on Montreal. Ottawa is higher. Vancouver, taking @chrisoftoronto’s $110 figure, is $239.13. I think we have disproved the notion that Toronto needs much more money per rider to operate.

          • Anon

            The Montreal system is great and I used to use it extensively for years. But if I remember correctly (I’ve been driving in Ottawa for 15 years because of the lousy, expensive bus system), it is also zoned. That said, the core zone (base fare) was really huge and was all I ever needed.

        • guest

          Yeah, but as chrisoftoronto points out, the Vancouver zone 1 pass isn’t a fair comparison; if you use their 2-zone pass it’s $110 with 46.3% recovery = $239, making Montreal really the only odd one out.

        • John Duncan

          Is your argument that they should all cost the same?

          There’s a massive number of variables that affect the cost of service provision, including not only zonal fares as others have pointed out, but also built form, political boundaries, fare integration, trip length and service frequency. And while changes to all of those can be made over varying time periods, and could reasonably alter costs, they’re mostly out of the TTC’s hands.

          Due to geographical constraints/time of development, both Montreal and Vancouver tend to have a more transit-supportive built form while Toronto’s is sprawling and highly car-oriented. It simply requires more vehicles (which tend to be running less full on feeder routes) to provide service within walking distance here. Relatedly, highly segregated land use, as Toronto has, pushes origin and destination points further apart, with the result that many people travel longer on their fares, which means more vehicles are required to carry the same passenger load.

          The lack of zone fares also makes the TTC a cheaper option for commuters compared to GO for people outside the municipal borders. In rush hour, the subway is filled to near capacity at its terminal stations by people who are misusing it as a regional service. Each of those users is paid for entirely by fares as their home municipality provides no subsidy to the TTC. Toronto’s (and the TTC’s) current borders are inane, being too large to provide for local decision-making, and simultaneously far too small to eliminate externalities.

        • Jamie S

          Simply comparing metropass costs inflates Toronto’s figure. Token fares and other fare media are discounted in relation to monthly passes. This is a political decision as lower income individuals tend to use tokens etc rather than metro passes. Given, I’m not sure if the other cities in your comparison discount single ride fares in the same way, but it is important to understanding why monthly passes in Toronto cost “so much”. They hit us first.

    • Stefan

      This is not a good way to estimate costs, because monthly passes are only one way of bringing in revenue, subject to various calculations and marketing decisions. Instead, divide the budget expenditure by the number of rides, and then compare … even that is not very sound, due to the different geographical and other factors which can make one city’s transit costs greater than another’s. What is indisputable is that Toronto’s fare ratio is very high (about 70%), i.e. the subsidy is low.

  • Anonymous

    @Alistair, the subway to nowhere is a capital project. Cutting back on service falls under the operating budget. The thing is, ill-advised capital expenditures, like the Sheppard gravy train, put even more stress on that operating budget.

    • http://www.facebook.com/people/William-Paul/100002519071197 William Paul

      while you are right, you are also wrong Lloyd. Right now, the new subway-to-nowhere is a capitol project BUT when it is complete it becomes part of the OPERATING budget and it will be so very expensive to run I don’t know where we are going to find the money…even with no Sheppard extension and so on.

      • Anonymous

        Yeah, my second sentence kinda touched that, but not clearly enough, I guess.

      • Anonymous

        Its the same for the completely buried Eglinton LRT, the operating costs for that will be a massive drag on the rest of transit in Toronto since we’ll have to pay much more to maintain all those kms of un-needed tunnels, all the un-needed underground stations with all of their un-needed escalators and elevators. The real kick in the ass is that future generations will be saddled with all these unnecessary operating costs just because Rob Ford has issues with at grade rail even if it is separated from car traffic on its own ROW and doesn’t take away any lanes from single occupant card drivers. Outside the centre of the city the roads are plenty wide enough, in addition to ample grassy strips alongside the roads, for every road user.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/William-Paul/100002519071197 William Paul

    Mr Munro is famous, or should I say infamous for bashing the TTC and in particular the “Ford” era TTC. Let’s run service we cannot afford, why not. It was the policy of former David Miller who argued, “it’s only another $1.25 on your tax bill”. That kind of think is why we are in the current mess. Oh, air a minute, the left do not think we have a spending problem. Rather than tax me to death, make me wait another 30seconds for a bus. It’s ok with me!

    • http://twitter.com/electricland Electric Landlady

      What bus route do you take?

    • Anonymous

      So… too many people are using the TTC, so if we could only convince them NOT to take transit, the commission saves all kinds of money it would only “waste” on service. Then redirect those “savings” to agencies whose services aren’t in demand, but whose budgets aren’t being cut 10 percent (cough, cough, Toronto Police Service)?

    • Hendrixfan

      What does this have to do with Left/right politics? Munro isn’t left wing. The guy is calling for a 10 cent fare increase to pay for things, which is not something the NDP would promote (they want a freeze).

    • http://twitter.com/PokerCartwright Dave McIntyre, Esq.

      “Rather than tax me to death, make me wait another 30seconds for a bus. It’s ok with me!”

      This is not just about you, Will. This is about all of us, the citizens of Toronto.

    • MTorontonian2

      Ah but we can afford it. In 2010 there was a 60M surplus (profit) that the city put back in it’s coffers instead of reinvesting back into the TTC (is the rules, man) oh and 70% of that 60M was directly from rider’s tokens and tickets. So dude, worse than taxes is Ford stealing the money to put .. oh wait, with all the other service cuts and the attempt to sell our services to the highest corporate bidder… un where has that money gone?

  • Anonymous

    I would like to see the NDP (or any party sympathetic to the situation) to put forward a bill to cancel the TTC’s “essential service” designation if the budget is cut. One of the hypocrisies of Ford’s administration is that he claims the TTC is an “essential service,” yet has no problems cutting its budget and services while giving another “essential service,” the police, a budget increase. What part of the TTC does he deem “essential?” If he believes it is “essential,” then it is his responsibility that it be funded as such and not simply be designated as such because it sounds nice from a populist point of view!

  • http://paul.kishimoto.name Paul Kishimoto

    As a busy newsreader with a limited number of feeds I can follow, I’m glad to see Torontoist publishing Steve Munro.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=633121766 Tracey Pike

    It is time the riders of Toronto revolt against these cuts! Great article!

  • http://www.facebook.com/RDTHRCKT Michael L. Williams

    It’s not mentioned here anywhere, but the TTC & the ATU are in contract talks, and assuming a 3% wage increase (which is a very conservative number given the recent essential service legislation, retro to April 2011), that $15,000,000 is already more than half spoken for, FYI.

  • Rick73

    Didn’t ford say he wouldn’t raise taxes and wouldn’t cut TTC service?? Or am I wrong?

  • John Duncan

    Is your argument that they should all cost the same?

    There’s a massive number of variables that affect the cost of service provision, including not only zonal fares as others have pointed out, but also built form, political boundaries, fare integration, trip length and service frequency. And while changes to all of those can be made over varying time periods, and could reasonably alter costs, they’re mostly out of the TTC’s hands.

    Due to geographical constraints/time of development, both Montreal and Vancouver tend to have a more transit-supportive built form while Toronto’s is sprawling and highly car-oriented. It simply requires more vehicles (which tend to be running less full on feeder routes) to provide service within walking distance here. Relatedly, highly segregated land use, as Toronto has, pushes origin and destination points further apart, with the result that many people travel longer on their fares, which means more vehicles are required to carry the same passenger load.

    The lack of zone fares also makes the TTC a cheaper option for commuters compared to GO for people outside the municipal borders. In rush hour, the subway is filled to near capacity at its terminal stations by people who are misusing it as a regional service. Each of those users is paid for entirely by fares as their home municipality provides no subsidy to the TTC. Toronto’s (and the TTC’s) current borders are inane, being too large to provide for local decision-making, and simultaneously far too small to eliminate externalities.

  • Guest

    So can citizens legally file an injunction in court to stop this government madness?

  • MTorontonian2

    In 2010 the TTC had a 60M surplus (http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/story/2010/12/14/ttc-surplus.html) , I wrote Ms. Stintz to question the need for a fare increase if this were actually true and she was kind enough to respond with the following ” Under the current process, the TTC is required to turnover any surplus to the City as a condition of receiving an operating grant. This year, the TTC turned over a significant surplus. That is not the norm. If the TTC had been permitted to keep the surplus, there would be no discussion about a fare increase.”

    “That is not the norm” so what did Ford do with that 60M, how can our city be in such dire straights. I don’t think we are, I think Ford is allowing this sell off for his own greed. We really need to find a way to stop this train of gravy…

  • Gerry Byrne

    Service was already cut by Comrade Rae when he decreed that all vehicles must be accessible. It takes a little over 2 of the new Orions (that aren’t being towed at the time) to provide the same capacity as one of the old buses they can’t scrap fast enough.
    A fare increase could easily be covered by collection of the hundreds, if not thousands of fares that aren’t paid daily by sneaky, smirking, walk-ins characters who know nothing will happen to them. The poor, honest mark will, as always, be stuck to shoulder the load.
    Finally, transportation modes should be decided based on ridership past a given point and not the personal preference of any indivdual’s personal preference.

    • http://piorkowski.ca qviri

      I know I should know better, but:

      I’ll be generous and assume that by “hundreds, if not thousands” you mean nine thousand fares that aren’t paid daily. As there are, on average, about 2.49 million TTC rides daily, the nine thousand unpaid rides constitute about 0.4% of that number. 0.4% fare increase on the $3 cash price is 1.2 cents (1 cent on the $2.50 token price). I think doing a 1.2 cent fare hike is going to be a little easier than dramatically increasing enforcement to eliminate the free rides.

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