Poll Position: Doug Holyday Leads in Etobicoke-Lakeshore
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Poll Position: Doug Holyday Leads in Etobicoke-Lakeshore

The Tories have a shot at securing themselves a seat in Toronto.

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for or did you vote for in the August 1 by-election in Etobicoke-Lakeshore?

Doug Holyday (PC): 47%

Peter Milczyn (Liberal): 43%

P.C. Choo (NDP): 7%

Angela Salewsky (Green): 3%

Poll taken: July 30, 2013
Sample size: 565
Margin of Error: +/-5%, 19 times out of 20
Methodology: Telephone poll
Conducted by: Forum Research

NOTES: The August 1 provincial by-election in Etobicoke-Lakeshore is a contest between two sitting politicians. Deputy Mayor Doug Holyday and Councillor Peter Milczyn, both of whom already represent Etobicoke on city council (in wards 3 and 5, respectively), are the two front runners in this race to fill a seat left vacant by former Liberal education minister Laurel Broten. Holyday’s lead is still within the margin of error, but it seems as though he has an excellent chance of winning. If he does, the Tories will get a much-needed foothold in Toronto, where they currently hold no provincial seats. If Holyday ends up going to Queen’s Park, Mayor Rob Ford has said he’ll appoint Councillor Norm Kelly the new deputy mayor.

Complete poll results are available from Forum Research’s website [PDF].