Poll Position: Reacting to New Liberal Leader Kathleen Wynne
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Poll Position: Reacting to New Liberal Leader Kathleen Wynne

Premier-designate Wynne ahead of rivals Tim Hudak and Andrea Horwath.

If a provincial election were held today, which party would you vote for?

Progressive Conservative: 23%

Liberal: 24%

NDP: 20%

Green: 7%

Other: 2%

Undecided: 14%

Refused to answer/would not vote: 11%

Which of the following leaders would make the best Premier of Ontario?

Tim Hudak: 18%

Kathleen Wynne: 24%

Andrea Horwath: 13%

Other: 1%

None of the above: 7%

Undecided/don’t know: 34%

After the past few years, I am so angry at the Ontario Liberals, I will never vote for them again.

Strongly agree: 16%

Somewhat agree: 14%

Neither agree nor disagree: 6%

Somewhat disagree: 33%

Strongly disagree: 25%

Don’t know: 4%

Poll taken: January 27-29, 2013
Sample size: 446
Margin of Error: +/-4.6%
Methodology: Telephone survey
Conducted by: Innovative Research Group

NOTES: Any political party hopes to get a bump in the polls with a change of leadership, and the Liberals are so far faring relatively well with their choice, Kathleen Wynne.

It’s very early going—this poll was taken in the three days immediately after Wynne’s victory at the convention—but it’s a promising sign for a party that is fighting a sense that it’s stagnated after nine years in office. In the wake of numerous controversies (eHealth, Ornge, gas plant closures, and most recently, tension with teachers), the Grits will still have an uphill climb: the poll shows it’s in a statistical tie with the NDP and the Tories. Wynne right now is the most-liked leader, but with 41 per cent of Ontarians saying they don’t know who she is yet, she’s certainly got a lot of work to do yet in introducing herself to voters.

The poll also, and we can only hope, finally, puts to rest the purported worry some Liberals had that Wynne would have a hard time winning a general election because she is gay: the survey found that 80 per cent of respondents were either neutral or agreed with the statement, “It’s a good thing Ontario has an openly lesbian Premier.”

Wynne will be officially sworn in as premier, as will the members of her new cabinet, on February 11.