Poll Position: Second Poll Shows Ford Support Plummeting
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Poll Position: Second Poll Shows Ford Support Plummeting

How has your opinion of Mayor Ford changed since the election?

Improved: 17%

Hasn’t changed: 29%

Grown worse: 54%

If an election was held tomorrow, would you vote for Rob Ford for mayor?

Yes: 27%

No: 60%

Don’t know: 13%

Poll taken: Tuesday September 13
Sample size: 12,848
Margin of Error: +/- 0.9%, 19 times out of 20
Conducted by: Forum Research

NOTES: Following on the heels of another poll earlier this week, which showed a decline in support for the mayor across the city, a massive second survey indicates that his position may be even worse than we thought. If the election were held tomorrow, said nearly 13,000 respondents, only 27% would vote for Ford. (The earlier poll asked a different question, about whether respondents approved of the job Ford is doing; 42% said yes.)

Though the poll was commissioned by CUPE 79, one of the City’s two major bargaining units, and was conducted by robo-call, the vast sample size gives today’s results significant credibility. (The Toronto Star has a breakdown of results by ward, too.) Perhaps more important, though, is the timing of the poll: in the midst of huge public outcry about the mayor’s proposal to revamp waterfront development, and days before an Executive Committee meeting at which significant service cuts will be considered. These two proposals run to the heart of the Ford administration—if passed they will undoubtedly be two of the things for which he is most remembered—and some councillors previously loyal to Ford have said they’ll be breaking ranks and voting against them. With two polls showing the public is by and large rejecting Ford’s direction, those councillors in the middle who are wavering about which way to vote on those key items have just been handed one very powerful reason to distance themselves from the mayor.

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