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Poll Position: Ford’s Approval Ratings Up Slightly

Poll also shows some strong concerns about becoming a "sanctuary city," allowing undocumented workers to access City-run services.


Overall do you approve or disapprove of the job Rob Ford is doing as Mayor of Toronto?

Approve: 48%

Disapprove: 52%

City council has declared Toronto a “Sanctuary City,” where undocumented and illegal immigrants are allowed to access all City services. Do you approve or disapprove of this decision?

Approve: 36%

Disapprove: 51%

Don’t know: 13%

Poll taken: February 22, 2013
Sample size: 806
Margin of Error: +/-5%, 19 times out of 20
Methodology: Interactive voice response telephone survey
Conducted by: Forum Research (results require registration)

NOTES: Another poll looking at prospective mayoral races is out, this one focusing on the impact George Smitherman might have if he decided to make another run for office.


If a mayoral election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Mayor Rob Ford, former MPP George Smitherman, and Councillor Adam Vaugan? If the candidates were Mayor Rob Ford, former MPP George Smitherman, and federal MP Olivia Chow? ford smitherman vaughan chow poll feb 2013

According to that poll Smitherman strikes Torontonians as a middling candidate: he’d attract a significant amount of support but would hardly count as a front-runner. Olivia Chow, in keeping with previous polls, is still the strongest potential opponent, as measured in how willing people would be to vote for her right now—due both to the fact that she presents a clear alternative to Rob Ford (this is less clear with Smitherman), and that she is very well known in the city (she has higher name recognition than Adam Vaughan, for instance). Ford’s approval numbers, meanwhile, are up slightly: 48 per cent in last week’s poll compared to 45 per cent in one taken last month, and 43 per cent in February 2012.

toronto best mayor poll feb 2013Turning from Toronto’s political future to consider its past, the survey also asked which of Toronto’s mayor’s has been the best. Ford and Miller are statistically tied (the margin of error on the poll is five per cent), with a lot of people unable to commit to a favourite.

In another set of questions, the poll also canvassed residents for their views on a potential new “access without fear” policy. Last week city council decided to explore making Toronto what’s called a “sanctuary city”: one which officially allows undocumented residents to use City-run programs and services. (This is more or less the case already—nobody checks your immigration papers when you go to the public health clinic for a vaccination—but isn’t a formal policy. The effect is that some undocumented residents won’t seek out services, for fear they will wind up being reported to immigration officials.) Many Torontonians aren’t too sure that’s a good idea, with a clear majority opposed to the policy, and a significant number also saying they don’t know enough to form an opinion.

Comments

  • Subways!

    This city is fucked. It’ll be even more fucked if Ford’s buddy Hudak wins the next election, which I wouldn’t bet against because the citizenry of this province just can’t wait to turn on itself.

  • Jill

    Sanctuary city? Are you f’ing kidding me????
    I’m sorry but if someone is here illegally, go home!! Why the hell should illegals have access to city services AT OUR EXPENSE?!

    • SRC

      May sound confusing, but it had nothing to do with immigration. A little more reading and understanding is in order. Can you do that? Like many people you have access to the internet but your not using it to inform yourself.

    • Cincinatus

      And thus, the socially, politically, ethically, and morally retarded members of Ford Nation make their opinions known again, as usual. Proud of the bigoted bullshit post that you’ve made, little lady?

      • Chris Roberts

        She’s not the one throwing around retarded assumptions there, chump.

    • Glenn Storey

      hey, if idiots like you have access to services at MY expense….

  • OgtheDIm

    Not surprising the Sun paid for this.

    I have a few concerns over methodology.

    In particular, which question came first? Put the Ford question first and you get a polite response. Put the Ford question last among those questions and I bet the number would drop.

    The question about Sanctuary City is torqued. The city already does this. Could just have easily said “City council, including Mayor Ford, and all but 3 of its members…..” and it would have been a very different response.

    Oh, and don’t get me started on including Smitherman in a poll when he has no intention of running. That’s the Sun using him as a bogeyman.

  • tyrannosaurus_rek

    “City council has declared Toronto a “Sanctuary City,” where undocumented and illegal immigrants are allowed to access all City services. Do you approve or disapprove of this decision?”

    I thought Council had only decide to explore the option, so isn’t this question intentionally misleading?

    • http://twitter.com/MarkJull Mark Jull

      You are correct. As far I could tell, only Torontoist explained this accurately. The Star’s front page headline blared, “Toronto Declared ‘Sanctuary City’”: http://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2013/02/21/cisanctuarycity21.html
      This idea is being put to city staff and Council will vote on it in the fall.