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politics

Poll Position: Significant Drop Among Rob Ford’s Strongest Supporters

New poll shows mayor's support weakening in Scarborough and North York.

ROB FORD’S APPROVAL RATING

Strongly approve: 21%

Somewhat approve: 13%

Neither approve nor disapprove: 12%

Somewhat disapprove: 12 %

Strongly disapprove: 36%

Don’t know/no answer: 6%

OF THOSE WITH AN OPINION

Strongly approve: 26%

Somewhat approve: 16%

Somewhat disapprove: 15%

Strongly disapprove: 43%

Poll taken: May 15, 2012
Sample size: 954
Margin of Error: +/-3.2%, 19 times out of 20
Methodology: Automated telephone poll
Conducted by: Stratcom


NOTES: A poll conducted this week shows that Rob Ford’s approval is weakening compared to earlier this year—and especially, that the contingent of those who strongly approve of the mayor has shrunk. John Willis is director of research for Strategic Communications, the firm that conducted the poll; yesterday he described the situation: “Ford Nation itself appears to be peeling away and that is changing the game for the mayor.” Willis explained that because the poll reveals falling support especially in North York and Scarborough—traditional strongholds for the mayor—this marks a significant shift.

The poll was taken on Tuesday night, before Ford’s surprise appearance at the PFLAG flag-raising at City Hall yesterday. The extent to which that appearance may have bolstered Ford’s numbers isn’t yet clear, though we’re guessing someone’s going to do another poll very soon to find out.

Complete poll results are available from Stratcom [PDF].

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