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Poll Position: Smitherman Shores Up, With Pantalone Poised to Slip

By David Topping

Among decided voters:

STILL UNDECIDED: 18.5%
POLL TAKEN: October 14–16.
SAMPLE SIZE: 1,000 “very likely” voters
MARGIN OF ERROR: +/- 3.1%, 19 times out of 20.
CONDUCTED BY: Nanos Research, for the Globe, CTV, and CP24.
NOTES: Like the just-released Forum Research poll, this one was taken after Rocco Rossi dropped out of the race; like the just-released Forum Research poll, this one shows Ford in the lead; like the just-released Forum Research poll, Ford’s lead over Smitherman is near the margin of error. The Globe has more details—including that Pantalone’s support is “stagnant and soft.”
Get more municipal election coverage from Torontoist here.

Comments

  • http://undefined Blake

    Polls are much more than “unideal” measurements of public opinion. Commissioned by big media corporations and controlled by political insiders, polls should be understood as functioning to produce public opinion. The media, through their polls, are working to transform the race in Toronto into a two-way race excluding the trusted and respected associate of a widely trusted and respected mayor
    The establishment doesn’t want social democratic politics to have a base of power in Canada’s largest metropolis. Pantalone can indeed win, because polls for municipal elections, where less than 40% of the electorate even show up, mean next to nothing. All the work being done by big media to convince us that this is a two-way race will only succeed if we let it succeed. The folks saying “Smitherman” or “Ford” on the phone to pollsters do not represent the electorate. A vote for Joey P is more than idealism, it is rational and strategic, for he does indeed have a real chance of winning on the day when only the opinions of those who show up at the polling station actually matter.