October 6, 2007
Don't Believe The Type

The referendum on Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) has become the latest victim of the costly and annoying "email hoax." This time, instead of telling you about HIV-infected needles hidden in movie theatre seats or a plan by the U.S. Congress to tax your email messages, the anonymous missive attempts to paint MMP as a mysterious government conspiracy to consolidate power. It would be hilarious if it wasn't so effective.
The email and its variations, with subjects like "MMP Referendum" or "The upcoming referendum - be wary," capitalize on the lack of knowledge that most people have about the electoral reform proposal before us. Some iterations contain legitimate criticism, others misleading statements, and some outright lies. And whether you support reforming our voting system or not, you should make your decision based on truth.
The email's anonymous author begins by attempting to discredit the Citizens' Assembly that created the proposal, saying, "purportedly, the members of the Citizens Assembly were chosen randomly but no one can establish which database or what information was used to determine such random participation." That's false. Members of the Assembly were selected at random by Elections Ontario from the Permanent Register of Electors for Ontario between April and June 2006. Since that information is easily available, the author is likely attempting to fabricate a sense that some sort of conspiracy is afoot.
In the same breath they claim that MMP is "the government's solution" to our electoral dysfunction. Again, that's not true. The government didn't recommend MMP, the Citizens' Assembly did, using an open and transparent democratic process under which they were not beholden to any political parties or special interests.
That feeds into their next (bolded) claim that MMP would "shift the power from the people of Ontario (local voters and ridings) to the politicians at Queens [sic] Park." Since this statement is an argument, it's harder to categorize it as clearly being fact or fiction. Defenders of the status quo will maintain that this it is true, while supporters of change say it's completely false. The important question to ask, however, is why would a group of informed citizens, people, voters, design a system that decreases their own power? The most likely answer is that they wouldn't and didn't.
The email author then builds on their vague allusions to a conspiracy by saying, "there has been no education on this referendum and its timing, coinciding with the October 10 Ontario election, may allow for an easy pass by sheer overshadowing." This is disingenuous on one count, and false on the other. It's disingenuous for opponents of MMP to complain about the lack of education surrounding the referendum, since they're the ones that blocked the distribution of Citizens' Assembly-produced materials explaining what it's recommending and why. And it's also false to suggest this referendum is headed for any kind of "easy pass." In fact, many observers have suggested that the odds have been intentionally stacked against MMP by those who are in power, thanks to the current system. The most obvious example is the fact that supporters of MMP need a 60% threshold to carry the day, while defenders of the status quo, conversely, only need 40% plus one. Former Conservative MP Patrick Boyer, who Wikipedia describes as "one of the foremost experts in Canadian constitutional law," has even suggested that the 60% threshold may be unconstitutional.
As the email gets more specific, it again becomes possible to clearly separate truth from lies. The author claims that MMP would "decrease the current number of elected MPPs" and "incorporate a new non-elected number of MPP." This is false. According to Elections Ontario (a non-biased body), under MMP all representatives would be elected by voters. The 90 regional representatives would be elected by candidate vote, and the 39 list representatives would be elected by what's called the party vote. If one wanted to argue that those list representatives are not elected, they'd have to make the same argument even more forcefully about the Premier under the current system, since they get to run the whole province even though they've only directly received a small handful of votes in one of 108 ridings.
Amusingly, the author goes on to make two completely contradictory arguments. On the one hand, the argument is made that MMP will create "decreased accessibility to government," since the number of local representatives would be decreased to 90. There is then the complaint that MMP will "[use] our tax dollars to pay for 22 more politicians," since the overall size of the legislature would be increased to 129. Well, which is it? Is this person (or group of people) advocating for more representation or less?
The fact is that if you're worried about the overall size of the legislature, you should know that at 129 seats Ontario would still have fewer elected representatives than we did before Mike Harris cut it down, and would have fewer representatives per capita than any other province or territory in Canada.
There are other examples of where this email goes over the top (at one point it says we're heading for a "form of government that is reminiscent of Communist regimes"), but an exhaustive list would be exhausting. Suffice it to say that it employs many of the fear-based tactics of a classic hoax email, which is probably why it's being forwarded so widely and successfully. The other real cleverness of the email is that it capitalizes on cynicism about the current political system in order to argue that we should keep the current political system. It's partly due to our voting system that people feel like they're not having their voices heard at Queen's Park, and that sense of disenfranchisement helps feed into the believability of a government conspiracy to entrench their own power.
If that were true, however, then the recommendation to vote for Mixed Member Proportional would have come from politicians, not people. If that were true, then the people opposing it would have been motivated to help, not hurt the public education process. If that were true then the threshold for approving the recommendation would not have been set so high. But no, whether you support MMP or not, you must recognize that it was recommended by a democratic, citizens-driven group who ended up voting an overwhelming 94-8 in favour of change. Therefore, if we believe in democracy—the idea that, as a group, citizens know what's best for the province—then we need to give this proposal very serious consideration. If we don't believe in that, however, then maybe we shouldn’t be letting citizens pick governments in the first place.


I originally figured that no one would believe the e-mail hoax, but I just received yet another e-mail from a friend believing that Tampax Pearl tampons lead to death.
Yeesh. Here's hoping.
The argument that MMP shifts power from voters to politicians is laughable as that is exactly what elections are INTENDED to do: confer proxy legislative power onto elected representatives on our behalf.
The variation on this line that says MMP takes power from voters and gives it to parties is also laughable because it is the PRESENT system that gives 100% of the power to a ONE party most people didn't vote for. Surely that would be the WORSTt-case scenario for people making these claims. ...and it's FPTP that does it.
I hate it when people say that the Citizen's Assembly were not randomly selected because I was one of the people originally contacted for the first round of random drafting. After that though I was not randomly selected to be a part of the council. I am proof of its legitimacy.
You should post a copy of the email here so someone can find this post when they Google for it.
I haven't seen the e-mail, but I'm sure that there are lots of things in it that are indeed silly, incorrect and misleading, and I'd be happy to hear more about them, particularly if they involve amusing right-wing conspiracy theories. But some a good half of the things that you refute not as clear cut as you make them out to be. For example:
Personally, I don't believe that holding office because a political party within which you've managed to find favour gets more support than the others counts as being "elected". By that measure, the senate is an elected body.
Another example:
It's both. You refer to the e-mail saying local representatives. Given that the 39 "proportional" members are elected on the basis of a province-wide ballot, it's reasonable enough to consider them to be not local.
Oh, shut up, you idiot.
Uh oh. We've got a thoroughly undemocratic system now then. According to public research, the majority of people vote based on the party without having any idea who their local candidate is. And it's widely considered a truism that the Liberals, for example, could run a ficus plant in some Ontario ridings and still win.
Except for the part where senators don't receive any votes and aren't elected, and list representatives under MMP would receive votes and would be elected. If I don't like how the list representatives of a certain party are performing, I can vote against them in the next election and they could lose their seats. If I don't like how a senator is performing, there's nothing I can do. It's not at all a reasonable comparison.
How do you vote against a list representative? You vote locally and then vote for a party. How do you target a particular list representative?
I kinda agree with joelphillips on this one.
What I really love is that opponents of MMP claim that MMP is a power grab by the parties when the Tories and Liberals are doing everything possible to quietly kill it.
REVERSE PSYCHOLOGY, PEOPLE!
If you don't like the names at the top of the list, change your party vote or don't vote for a party at all. It's not difficult.
Hi Chris and the anonymous guest who made the ad hominem,
Indeed we do. The problem is that MMP doesn't do a great deal to improve it.
Okay, so lots of people decide how to vote based on pretty crude reasoning, but why do we need to institutionalise that? Political parties are great organisational tools. It's totally understandable that a group of similarly-minded people would choose to associate in order to improve their mutual chances of forming a government.
However, it is the parties who, over the decades (centuries, if you include Canada's parliaments' British heritage), have managed to frame the political debate in terms of whether we want to be red, blue, orangey-yellow or green. Our party political structure is largely responsible for the encouragement of the electorate's crudeness and it seems odd that we should respond to that by rewarding it - creating a system that "elects" people based on no criteria other than their alignment to a particular one of four (or six, or whatever) colours.
But it's going to be a lot more difficult to get rid of an egregiously bad politician. For example, the NDP's top five candidates will basically be guaranteed a job. If a FPTP candidate represents a party that you support, but is terrible, you can vote against them knowing that your favourite party only loses one seat. That's just not possible for an MMP list candidate. And if you like candidate 4, but not candidate 3, then you have absolutely no recourse.
And if there wasn't an easy way for the voters to elect not to support a candidate, how much should we consider them to be "elected"?
People get SO easily sucked into a Delphi Technique argument, where two evils are placed on the table and the people asked to choose between them.
With this one, neither system is ever going to supply us with the accountability in government that we seek, but at least FTPT allowed us the OPPORTUNITY to vote by party OR by candidate, dependent only upon where we mark the X.
MMP purports to allow alternative parties the opportunity of winning a seat or two based on province-wide popularity, but ALL parties would be competing for those seats, not just the alternatives, so it's still a dicey matter to win any seats at all.
BOTH systems are flawed. Neither offers the voter the accountability that is the ONLY thing that keeps government honest, and in fact the 39 "list members" would have no constituency at all to serve, and would be loyal ONLY to their party.
Ontarians are being offered a pig in a poke with this referendum. Badly explained, badly conceived, and with the expenditure of $6.5 MILLION taxpayer dollars, a vote for MMP is a vote for an unknown quantity.
A better system, proposed by an independent candidate in Manitoba (one who served on the citizen's committee), would be "preferential balloting", where we would be able to choose our first, second and third choices; this would allow us to elect ALL sitting MPP's, with an accurate proportional representation. This is the best of both worlds, and it is being ignored.
But hey.... that's too simple, right? Nope, gotta choose between those two evils, which means we are always choosing an evil!
Guest #12 - The Citizens' Assembly looked at preferential voting as well. They decided that MMP better served what they and other Ontarians they heard from value in a voting system. There will always be other people with other suggestions, but as you point out, we only have two choices in this referendum. If we believe MMP is even a bit better than the current system we should support it, because voting for the status quo (the only other option on the ballot) tells the government that we support the current system and don't want change.
I support the remarks against party lists, as used in the MMP system. The fact that the FPTP system is bad enough, with its monopoly on constituency representation, doesnt justify the unrepresentative standard of voting for a party list.
The Ontario referendum is unlikely to settle anything. Some electoral reformers will have to consider whether to go on propagandising proportional partisanship as if it were really proportional representation, which was conceived in liberty, as the single transferable vote.
Richard Lung
http://www.votong.ukscientists.com